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2024-12-14 11:23:14

Meta's Instagram said that its service has returned to normal after the interruption. According to Downdetector.com, a network status tracking website, after thousands of users encountered technical problems when accessing the Instagram platform on Wednesday, Instagram said that its service was back online. During the peak period of failure, which started around 12:50 pm EST, Facebook reported more than 100,000 failures and Instagram reported nearly 70,000 failures. As of 6: 00 pm EST, the number of reports from these two applications has dropped to more than 1,000. Downdetector data is based on reports submitted by users. The actual number of users affected may vary.Tianyu Digital Branch rose by 0.13% today, with a net sales of 207 million yuan. Tianyu Digital Branch rose by 0.13% today, with a turnover of 6.614 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 49.83%. After-hours statistics show that the Ningbo Branch of Federal Reserve Securities sold 207 million yuan, and the special seats of Shenzhen Stock Connect bought 157 million yuan and sold 248 million yuan.Trump's nominated director of NASA said that his future mission of cooperating with SpaceX would be put on hold. On December 11th, local time, jared Isakman, the director of NASA nominated by US President-elect Trump, said that his future private astronaut mission planned to cooperate with SpaceX of elon musk might be put on hold. Isaac Mann said that the future of the Polaris Project is still a "question mark".


Securities Daily: Vigorously boosting consumption is the focus of the current macro policy. The article said that consumption is the ballast stone for stable economic operation. However, we must also see that residents' consumer confidence still needs to be enhanced. Therefore, it is necessary to take multiple measures simultaneously, constantly consolidate the foundation of consumption growth, enhance residents' willingness and ability to consume, and promote the sustained recovery of the consumer market. First, increase residents' income through multiple channels and improve their spending power. Second, further support the trade-in of consumer goods. Third, promote the upgrading and expansion of service consumption. Promoting consumption is the main starting point for expanding domestic demand, and boosting consumption is the focus of macroeconomic policy. We firmly believe that with the continuous efforts of various policy initiatives, consumer confidence will continue to increase and consumption potential will continue to be released.Brazil raised the benchmark lending rate by 100 basis points to 12.25%. Brazil's central bank expects the next two meetings to raise interest rates by the same amount.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 98.6%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 1.4%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 98.6%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 19%.


CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.Standard & Poor's: It is expected that the rise of trade protectionism in major economies will damage the GDP growth of most emerging markets, but the impact will depend on specific policies. Central banks in emerging markets are expected to take a more cautious stance, but monetary easing will continue.Reminder: Please pay attention to the employment report of Australia in November (including the number of employed people and unemployment rate) at 08: 30 (Beijing time below); ② At 16: 30, the Swiss National Bank announced the interest rate resolution; ③ At 17: 00, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released the monthly crude oil market report; ④ 21:15 The European Central Bank announced the interest rate resolution (including main refinancing rate, deposit convenience rate and marginal lending rate); ⑤ PPI in November in the United States at 21: 30, and the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the week of December 7; ⑥ 21:45 European Central Bank President Lagarde held a press conference; 7 Broadcom released its performance report after the US stock market closed.

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